Saturday, 24 September 2011

Newmarket Price Picks

I feel under no pressure to find a winner this afternoon so I am inclined not to chase the ill advertised prices of certain individuals in the big races this afternoon. The two races I will give my selections on at Newmarket this afternoon come in the 3.10PM Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1) and the 3.50PM Betfred Cambridgeshire (Class 2) Handicap. I know I am due a change of luck but at this time of year luck is hard to find and results even more so for the value seeker in us all.

In No Rush

Having not even glanced at a racecard since last weekend I have been in two minds over whether to call it a  day and wait a few weeks to launch myself into the exciting upcoming National Hunt campaign. Flat racing at this time of year whilst it represents a high quality offers little to encourage my enthusiasm as results are seemingly harder to find and big priced winners too few and far between. Having said that I would not be doing the blog justice if I was to miss a weekend off my calendar as I have never done this before and always made an effort to see if there is any value worth grabbing. Today I am mainly putting my focus into scoring a winner or two at Newmarket where the Cambridgeshire Handicap is the most intriguing race of the day. With a Group 1 on offer in the form of the Bahrain Stakes it promises to be an exciting day that may possibly reignite my love for racing at this late stage of the season.

One bet already lined up comes from a race at Haydock after Channel 4 goes off air. The race is the Stainless Wire Handicap (Class 2) where hopefully more than 16 runners will go to post. The confident selection is ARDLUI in a race run over a trip of 1m 6f in ground with a fair bit of moisture giving it a good to soft feel. This will be right up the street of this Galileo colt and running for an age group that thrives in this long distance contest he could take some beating at these weights. Henry Candy likes to land a gamble and I do not expect his price to drift before race time. A wide draw is perhaps the only inconvenience but if he can settle midpack early one off the rail he should not be hindered to any great extent.


Pundit Pointer:


3.55 - Ardlui (2pts WIN / 0.5pts PLACE @ 9-2 Bet365)


Saturday, 17 September 2011

Saturday Racing - Ayr Gold Cup Day

With the bottles of water lined up before my very eyes I have somehow managed to get seated infront of my PC for the latest Saturday update. The things I do for betting! I really should be in bed. I am much against looking for further bets due to the state I am in but I have been busy on and off all week looking at the racecard for today and already had a few possibles lined up. Hopefully one can win!

Friday, 16 September 2011

Out Again

For the second successive weekend I have commitments which mean my blogging tendencies may be limited somewhat. I am hopeful of lining up some bets in both the Ayr Silver and Gold Cups whilst one race at Newbury has already caught my eye at a big price. There would be little point in mentioning the names of selections this early without supplying good reasons to coincide with my choices but hopefully at some point before Midday tomorrow I may find an opportunity to deliver and hopefully score a winner.

(Please be warned, my next update will either be when I am very drunk, or very ill afterwards).

Tuesday, 13 September 2011

Kerry National - Lenabane Can Impress

For several weeks I have been gasping for the return of the National Hunt season proper having kept well away from any goings on over the jumps during the Summer. Jump racing in my view is safest when the ground is on the soft side and my personal opinion is that it should not exist at all after April until late September. To me the Kerry National gives us an appetizer towards what is to come during the Autumn and Winter months and this years renewal on paper looks a distinguishing treat for jump racing enthusiasts!

Friday, 9 September 2011

Rest Of Doncaster - Includes Saturday Bets!

I am away this weekend and so have been researching ahead of racing this weekend. With Census my small Antepost selection running on Saturday in the St Leger I am keen to see whether I can score with some particularly cute looking alternative bets in the supporting races.

Thursday, 8 September 2011

Doncaster Day Two - Bets In Brief

Had no opportunity yesterday to write a preview of my betting activities for this afternoon but if being honest I am speculatively punting this afternoon rather than massively keen on any particular chance.

There are two races in question with could pose a shock at a high level and it is my intention to bet in each and see what fortune brings.

Tuesday, 6 September 2011

Doncaster - Scarbrough Stakes - Runner Guide

The best race on Day One to perhaps have involvement in is the 3.10PM Scarbrough Stakes (Listed Race) which pits some of the old and new together in the sprinting ranks. Please read on for my Timeform style runner profiles and take note of how I feel it may turn out.

Sunday, 4 September 2011

Sunday Best Bet

Finally a winner yesterday but quite an inept staking plan as usual when I read back to myself what I had written regarding the chances of Emulous. I had totally discounted the chances of Misty For Me and claimed Together would give the selection most to do, but still only chose a small stake with which bet with no alternative forecast bet even placed. I really do make too many mistakes and need to find a method to realise my confidence levels before a race. Any tips on this are most welcome!

As for today there were one or two maybe bets but nothing welcoming so it is a trip to France where I am betting on the probable favourite PACIFIQUE in the 1.30PM Prix De Lutece (Group 3) at Longchamp. Quite simply this looks a relatively weak renewal and this filly would be unbeaten but for running into a very solid looking prospect in the form of Shareta. That stablemate had far more race experience than the selection when they met recently and with the problems encountered leaving the stalls it was a good performance overall.

Behind that day in third was the John Gosden trained Polygon and depending on what outcome the race has today it could see Polygon vying for favouritism for the Park Hill Stakes (Group 2) at Doncaster on Thursday. That race looks like it might be a straight battle between herself and Meeznah and if I am thinking in such high regard of Polygon then it quite simply is a no brainer to be mildly optimistic on the prospect of Pacifique in this Group 3 this afternoon.

The price may not be value in terms of monetary reward but with only the field lacking depth the 2-1 on offer makes some sense.

Of the runners at bigger odds I am intrigued by the chance of the very unexposed GIREVOLE who looks set to feature on quicker ground this afternoon for the first time. He could well prove to be the stable number one in this race and has to be given serious thought at a double figured price considering his trainer has such an exemplary record in this event.

Since the year 2000 Andre Fabre has tasted victory in this race no fewer than SIX times and has the additional disqualified winner in the form of Americain attributing to an established and well likened record in this race. Considering he chooses the race to farm out some of his best stayers it seems worthwhile perhaps in choosing Girevole as the back up choice to follow the selection home despite the lack of form on offer. The forecast could pay well.

On sheer understanding of Andre Fabre's strong record in this race it would not be surprising should Girevole be gambled on quite dramatically before the race. The current 12-1 is overpriced and represents a viable pre-race trading opportunity should liquidity on the exchanges permit.

Pundit Pointer:

1.30 - Pacifique (1pt WIN @ 2-1 Boylesports)
1.30 - Girevole (1pt WIN @ 12-1 William Hill)

An additional small forecast bet on the PMU may also be on the cards.

Saturday, 3 September 2011

Saturday Racing - My Thoughts

Despite not reaching the dizzy heights that I wished to this campaign I have not bottled it and given up as such but instead marginally distanced myself from racing activity in order to regain some enthusiasm towards the latter end of the season. It is a struggle at this time of year as proven by strange and sometimes unfathomable results but the key rule is to not be over exuberant and maintain a high level of discipline. I have faltered most recently on both of these qualities I feel are required to be successful but through every downturn I often seem to follow it up by a sharp upward curve in results so I am ready and willing to put forward my selections once more. Today is a titanic day of racing with no less than EIGHT meetings scheduled. Far too much racing in my opinion for a single day and I am keen to select one race from each of the four biggest meetings with a value bet from Ascot, Haydock, Kempton and Leopardstown to wet the appetite and hopefully bulk up the betting pot!