Monday, 28 February 2011

Ridiculous Discussion On Eider Chase Distance

It beggars belief that the Racingpost have issued their Question of the Day today as "Should the distance of the Eider Chase be reduced?"

The simple facts of the matter are that no horses were killed. No horses will suffer any long lasting damage and perhaps it is only the people who backed horses that could not finish the race who are amongst those still arguing for it to happen. Quite frankly it is a stupid question and needs no discussion at all. Clerk of the Course James Armstrong is at fault for originally suggesting it at the weekend. My P.E. teachers at high school did not decrease the length of Cross Country just because I staggered the last half mile each week. Why should horses be treated any differently? No harm was done after all.

Sunday, 27 February 2011

Quiet Period Upcoming

With all the horses due to race at Cheltenham in March practically finished their racing preparations I imagine the next two Saturdays will be relatively quiet. I definitely do not want to be betting too obsessively during this time period as I want to be ready for Cheltenham with a fresh mind and body so I can do myself justice. Last year I took the week off work to study and even visit on Gold Cup day and the plan this time around is to do the same minus the visit itself. I did enjoy it of sorts last year but it was raining all afternoon and too overcrowded for my liking as many of the attendees attempted to stay dry. It was however only my first visit to Cheltenham and one that I will make arrangements to experience again next season. This season I want to keep my focus and not get distracted by travelling. If Cheltenham is approached in the right manner it can be quite profitable and that once again will be my sole aim of the four day meeting this time around.

Deal Done at Leopardstown

Deal Done runs in the Carrickmines Handicap Chase (Grade B) at Leopardstown this afternoon and looks worthy of consideration at the weights in what looks to be an extremely competitive handicap chase run over 2m 5f. This will be the horses first start in a handicap chase where conditions are ideal having only had two previous outings in handicap company. On one occasion the ground was too quick whilst last time out the horse had not run for 60 days and most likely needed more fine tuning to be fit and ready to show his best form.

Saturday, 26 February 2011

Companero Runs A Stormer in Oddspundit 1-2 Finish!

Treacherous was the only word to describe it as 17 runners tackled the Eider Chase over 4m 1f at Newcastle in atrocious conditions. Bottomless perhaps cannot even describe the ground runners were faced with as horses like Ballyfoy and Minella Boys even failed to cope at the business end of the race. The race was run at a tame pace but it was fully understandable and a shrewdly judged one set by ace jockey Peter Buchanan who shared front running duties aboard Companero with Oddspundit's second selection in the race Giles Cross.

Eider Chase Preview

The second biggest race of today comes from Newcastle where they managed to pass an early morning inspection for the race to go ahead. The totesport.com Eider Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) is a gruelling 4m 1f contest which this year will be run in the "worst ground they have raced on for a long, long time" according to clerk of the course James Armstrong.

Which of the 12 in the line up offer the best chance of beating the conditions and more importantly where can we find the best value?

Friday, 25 February 2011

Hey Big Spender - Racing Post Chase

Saturday's big racing comes from Kempton and Newcastle where the highlight of both cards is an extremely competitive chase handicap. The Racing Post Chase (Grade 3) at Kempton looks set to be a high class renewal with 17 runners declared to take part. My biggest fancy for the race is the partly unconsidered Hey Big Spender and here is why....

Sunday, 20 February 2011

Naas Sunday

Not alot on offer today as the Graded races in Ireland are all small fields as is the norm nowadays sadly and the British offering is one of significant low quality. Why as a nation when people would actually be able to attend racing (on a Sunday) do we put on rubbish meetings? I've never understood it and never will. It is even more bizarre when I think that there is not one decent meeting throughout the year raced on a Bank Holiday (ignoring Boxing Day). Ridiculous! Racing For Change no doubt will not change this though as they have not changed anything of significance yet I do not think.

Back to the point of this posting though and I have a monster price selection which is the biggest price I have backed this season to date. Can it win? Or am I still feeling the effects of a shocking display yesterday?

Saturday, 19 February 2011

Best Of The Rest - Saturday Racing Preview

It appears difficult to gauge which are the great looking bets and which are the red herrings this morning as there are several quality races involving large enough fields for me to show an interest in. There are also a vast number of high quality races with only a select few set to run and they look worthy of watching themselves without parting with any funds to make them an interest.

Saturday Preview - Totesport Grand National Trial

Haydock and Ascot are the intended destinations for the television cameras this weekend for what promises to be some quality racing on show. I personally will be travelling to Haydock (weather permitting as I do not want to be soaked all day) despite suffering heartache earlier this week with the withdrawal of Minella Boys from the Totesport Grand National Trial. There may not be many ideal betting opportunities this weekend but if searching carefully there should be one or two....

Thursday, 17 February 2011

Totesport Trophy Preview (Again)

The rearranged Newbury Totesport Trophy meeting takes place on Friday with the remaining card scheduled to take place after the horrific events of last weekend. My initial interest in this race was Notus De La Tour for the David Pipe yard but with the worsening ground perhaps I have changed my mind?

Wednesday, 16 February 2011

Another Massive Blow

Charlie Longsden has reported on his website that he intends to withdraw Minella Boys from Saturdays Totesport Grand National Trial Chase at Haydock.

In his comments he mentions

"With regards to the National trial, I have to make a decision whether to run Minella Boys there or next weekend in the Eider Chase. We will probably head to the Eider as I am not very keen to take on West End Rocker again even though we are 3lbs better off after the Warwick race."

So once more my antepost betting does not cut the mustard and I fail to get a run for my money. Now I have to hope the clerk of the course Kirkland Tellwright has not realised it will reach -2c on Friday night. Although with his historical record it means there is still a chance the race could be abandoned!

Strange too that even though the trainer has practically already declared his horse a non runner that bookies are still happy and willing to take 8-1+ and rob the punters for even more money before final declarations are made tomorrow afternoon.

Monday, 14 February 2011

RSA Chase Trends

Onwards we continue with a thorough run through of the Grade 1 Cheltenham trends that are fast approaching and here we look at the ultra competitive RSA Chase (Grade 1) which is the main show highlighting Novice potential. A few winners previously have gone onto be classy chasers and none so more than Denman who was victorious in 2007 with a fine performance to win by 10 lengths.

Haydock On The Horizon

The totesport.com Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 is the feature event on a monster Haydock card this weekend and our 20-1 antepost selection Minella Boys has been declared amongst the 17 runners at this early stage.

Sunday, 13 February 2011

Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle Trends

The third Grade 1 of the Cheltenham Festival and the first on the second day is the Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) contest. A race ran over 2m 5f and features a very solid recent roll of honour including the likes of Mikael d'Haguenet and Peddlers Cross.

Saturday, 12 February 2011

Terrible and Tragic Day For Horse Racing

I am simply still in too much shock at the events of today to even think about betting right now. I did not care one bit about the outcome of the one race I had bets in this afternoon after hearing what had occurred shortly before at Newbury. A lot has been said already and much more will be reported on what may have happened in the coming days but today was one of those moments that you will never ever forget about and it was a tragic shame that two horses had to die in such a way.

As a nation we come to accept that horses may die as part of the sport we love but never in a billion years do we anticipate such a scenario that was indeed witnessed this afternoon.

I cannot begin to imagine the fright of both the young and old who were stood around and inside the parade ring as the events unfolded. For the two horses Fenix Two and Marching Song to die by electrocution is utterly devastating and it has left me in a very sombre mood for much of the day.

They simply cannot justify rearranging the meeting for midweek after such an occurrence despite calls from many trainers to do just that. If this had of been human fatalities the course would have been shutdown indefinitely and until enough evidence is gathered to confirm the root cause of this shocking incident then no horses should be allowed anywhere near the racecourse for the foreseeable future.

RIP to the desperately unlucky two and condolences to their owners on this incredibly sad day.

Miss Overdrive Can Park Into The Places

Normally I would not place an additional bet on a race that I have already staked quite big on but with my partial stake on the 1.55 at Newbury having been placed with a £30 free bet from William Hill then there is still some allowance on what I am mentally ready to depart with in terms of funds today. Having said that I feel I approach this race once again from a positive angle and feel I could have found a potential blip in the market.

Totesport Trophy - My View

I have no major intentions for any further bets despite a plethora of good quality action on the cards today. The Totesport Trophy at Newbury should be the showpiece event in terms of excitement as one of any number of horses has a chance it seems. Far too hard for me to be confident but if I was to have a bet in the race what would I be on?

Saturday Interests - A Working Title Of Early Bird Bets

Saturdays best racing comes from Leopardstown where the rearranged Grade 1 epidemic finally takes place but having had my funds returned on my NRNB Antepost selection Money Trix it leaves me without a bet in the biggest race of the day. Therefore my attentions have to diversify and so I hear you wondering - what has grabbed my attention this time?

Thursday, 10 February 2011

No Bets For Meydan

There are no plans for any bets at Meydan on Thursday evening. Still hoping to find something exciting for Saturday in the UK. Hope to see you then. Remember 2011 is my year of discipline and so far - so good! I am sure there will be better chances than tonight to win big at Meydan in the near future. Patience!

Tuesday, 8 February 2011

Champion Hurdle Challenge Trends

The Champion Hurdle Challenge is the third Grade 1 on the opening day of the Cheltenham Festival. It is a race to find the ultimate hurdler over two miles and arguably the second greatest race of the four day extravaganza.

Here is my quick trends guide and likely candidates for the race itself :-

Monday, 7 February 2011

Arkle Trophy Challenge Trends

The Arkle Trophy Challenge is the second Grade 1 on the card and takes place on the opening day of the festival. It is a race to find the ultimate novice chaser over a ferocious two miles of the galloping, undulating and testing course.

Here is my quick trends guide and likely candidates for the race itself :-

Cheltenham Stat Attacks

Cheltenham 2011 is fast approaching and so now is the time that the form book should be reviewed and shortlists be formed for the big race events. Many bookmakers are offering Non-Runner-No-Bet guarantees which means betting early could yield some typically pleasant rewards for the main races.

Over the next couple of weeks I want to aid myself and anyone who is reading with ammunition to be successful at this years festival. I will be analysing trends as always and looking for exceptional value amongst runners highlighting any past runs that offer me encouragement and confidence with regards to all my selections.

If the homework is done correctly, Cheltenham can indeed be very rewarding (with some nice luck)!

Sunday, 6 February 2011

6 Pints and Some Money Trix

Came home early having not got into the mood required to drink myself into oblivion and chat to persons I have little interest in. However I just wanted to commit to my Money Trix bet should Leopardstown pass Sunday mornings inspection. Realistically though this is unlikely as I have just walked less than a mile home in Greater Manchester and been greeted with a deluge which has soaked me wet through. Forecasts suggest Ireland is worse still so my hope for Sundays meeting to be on is minor. Any re-run later in the week though would give Money Trix a huge chance should he still be entered.

Hope you all enjoy your sunday off should the card be postponed. I am highly unlikely to study Wincanton unless my current mood changes significantly.

Pundit Pointer:

Leopardstown

3.45 - Monet Trix (1pt @ 11-2 various)

I must admit I bet on this race at 4pm Saturday evening whilst the market was still antepost and 7-1 was available. My thinking was that the only way Money Trix would be a non-runner so late on is due to the meeting being cancelled. In my honest opinion the 11-2 is a fair price but not massive value so anyone who decides not to bet is probably justified though in the conditions this horse should run a solid race.

Saturday, 5 February 2011

Kilcrea Kim Keeps The Run Going

Kilcrea Kim claimed the spoils in fantastic fashion in the totescoop6 Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) event. Dantari set up a crazy gallop which had me purring in satisfaction early on as I knew Kilcrea Kim would love chasing a strong pace over a 2m 6f trip. Richard Johnson timed his challenge to perfection and just kept enough energy in the tank to repel the late challenge of Alfie Spinner on the run to the line.

Rest Of Racing - Saturday Preview

There are several intriguing races to watch this weekend but only a small percentage of these make good value betting events due to some remarkably small fields in most of the Graded events across the country. Ultimately I am very disappointed with what is on offer on the betting front today but I will still be glued to my television in the hope of finding some very important clues regarding Cheltenham and Aintree later in the season.

Despite my disappointment there are still possibly one or two more bets worth having to add to todays earlier selection Kilcrea Kim (see below posting).

Racing Preview - Part 1 Sandown

There has been one high quality handicap that has interested me throughout this week and that is the totescoop6 Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) at Sandown run over 2m 6f and expected to feature no fewer than twenty-one runners. With pretty decent ground for this time of year expected this race should be run at a good clip with the better horses featuring at the finish.

Thursday, 3 February 2011

Meydan - Maktoum Challenge II

Thursday evening sees the biggest race of the Dubai Carnival take place so far with five Group 1 winners in opposition and racing for glory in the Maktoum Challenge II. This race may need to be treated with some caution as several of the likely winners are unraced this term but we are still guaranteed a spectacle and there may still be a bet.

Tuesday, 1 February 2011

At Least One More Year To Go

Fortunately my memory kicked in just in the nick of time as it dawned on me tonight that I only purchased the domain name Oddspundit.com for a single year! That meant that during March my ownership of the domain name would have expired, all of you would have been lost and cybersquatters would have taken over the domain demanding a ridiculous amount for its return to me. That is the world we live in nowadays but it is nice to know that I should be around for another 12 months at least. Hopefully I can find something of interest for Meydan on Thursday in celebration to keep the good run going. The highlight of the card is the Group 3 Maktoum Challenge R2 event run over 9f and features a high class field consisting of FIVE Group 1 winners from across the globe and a Group 2 winner. Great race to wet the appetite even if I cannot find a bet to co-exist for it come Thursday evening.

Bring it on!